Detailed FX Market Outlook and Analysis

EUR/USD Daily Analysis 04-JAN-2022

EUR/USD Daily Analysis

EUR/USD is still bounded in the range of 1.0481/0733, and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, the break of 1.0481 will confirm a short-term topping on bearish divergence condition in a 4-hour MACD. A deeper fall would be seen back to 1.0289 support and below. On the upside, however, a firm break of 61.8% projection of 0.9729 to 1.0481 from 1.0289 at 1.0754 will pave the way to a 100% projection at 1.1041.

In the bigger picture, the focus stays on a 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.0609. Rejection by 1.0609 will suggest that price actions from 0.9534 medium-term bottom develop into a corrective pattern. Thus, medium bearishness is retained for another fall through 0.9534 at a later stage. However, a sustained break of 1.0609 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target a 61.8% retracement at 1.1273.


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