USD/JPY Daily Analysis
Outlook in USD/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, a firm break of 134.73 will confirm a short-term topping, on bearish divergence conditions in 4 hours and daily MACD. A deeper fall would be seen through 55-day EMA to 126.35/131.34 support zone. On the upside, the break of 139.37 will resume a larger up trend.
In the bigger picture, the current rally is seen as part of the long-term up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Next target is 100% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 126.35 support holds.